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IUPUI at WI-Grn Bay: Box Score Simulation

Thursday Feb 1, 2024 12:00 pm - Green Bay, WI
Odds: Green Bay by 12, Total Points: 135

More Games From Feb 1, 2024

NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy (which is why we do not include it on other prediction pages throughout the site). We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc). To see our best prediction for the winner and final score of the game, please see the matchup overview page.

Box Score Projection

Scoring INDPU WIGB
Points Subscribe to view
Total Points Subscribe to view
Points From 2-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From 3-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From Free Throws Subscribe to view
Shooting INDPU WIGB
Field Goals Made Subscribe to view
Field Goals Attempted 53.2 53.5
Field Goal % 45.3% 52.1%
2 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
2 Pointers Attempted 41.1 27.9
2 Point Shooting % 52.0% 65.7%
3 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
3 Pointers Attempted 12.1 25.6
3 Point Shooting % 22.5% 37.2%
Free Throws Made Subscribe to view
Free Throws Attempted 19.9 18.0
Free Throw % 72.7% 71.5%
Ball Control INDPU WIGB
Rebounds 28.1 32.7
Rebounds - Defensive 19.8 24.0
Rebounds - Offensive 8.3 8.8
Turnovers 10.7 12.0
Blocked Shots 2.6 2.0
Steals 6.6 4.7
Fouls 15.5 15.3

Playing Style Advantage: Subscribe to view

Expected Effect: +1.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats INDPU WIGB
Total Possessions Subscribe to view
Effective Scoring Chances Subscribe to view
% of Possessions with INDPU WIGB
2 Point Attempt 53.3% 35.9%
3 Point Attempt 15.7% 32.8%
Player Fouled 22.4% 22.7%
Turnover 15.7% 17.6%
Opponent Steal 7.0% 9.7%
Odds Per Shot Taken INDPU WIGB
Shot Blocked 3.8% 5.0%
Offensive Rebound 25.6% 30.7%